Super Tuesday is upon us! Today, Texas joins where voters will weigh in on who they want representing their political party on the ballot in November.
There are 150 seats in the Texas House of Representatives and 38 Congressional seats on the ballot, as well as several state senate and judicial races.
That means a lot of party primary races across Texas. And, as with all things Texas politics, it鈥檚 by no means a sleepy election.
From Ted Cruz鈥檚 challenger to crowded races to voter turnout, here鈥檚 what Texans should be watching.
The Democratic primary for U.S. Senate
For many Texas Democrats, 2024 is when they finally hope to unseat U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz.
But first, voters have to decide who will run against the incumbent Republican, who is seeking his third term. Texans who vote in the Democratic primary will see nine names in the U.S. Senate contest.
Right now, the frontrunners are State Sen. Roland Gutierrez, D-San Antonio, and Congressman Colin Allred, D-Dallas. And while the two are favored by Democratic voters, recent polling from the Texas Politics Project shows would have an uphill battle beating Cruz, who is ahead of both Allred and Gutierrez by 14 points.
Because nine Democrats are running in Texas鈥� U.S. Senate primary, it鈥檚 unlikely either Gutierrez or Allred would get the required 50% plus one to win their party鈥檚 nomination outright.
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A divide in the Texas GOP
A among Texas Republicans has boiled over this election year.
The rift has meant particularly nasty attacks from all sides during this year鈥檚 GOP primaries. .
Tuesday鈥檚 results will prove whose endorsement carries the most weight, and could determine the future path of conservative politics in Texas.
Gov. Greg Abbott is targeting more than a dozen GOP incumbents in the Texas House who voted against last year.
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton wants to unseat a bunch of Republican lawmakers who supported his , including the speaker of the Texas House, and also wants to oust three GOP judges from the state鈥檚 top criminal court.
Even former president Donald Trump has weighed in. He agrees that the Republican speaker, Dade Phelan, should go, and has endorsed candidates in a handful of other Texas races, too.
We are watching for the future direction of the Texas GOP.
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There will be runoffs
Insulated from Texas鈥� primary race political drama are those lucky incumbents without opponents on the March 5 ballot.
For them, Super Tuesday will be smooth sailing 鈥� running unopposed in their party鈥檚 primary means they鈥檒l coast to the General Election. But several hotly contested races, like the aforementioned Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, feature a slew of candidates. That increases chances the state鈥檚 Republicans and Democrats won鈥檛 know all of their nominees just yet.
鈥淚n Texas, we do have runoffs for primary elections. And that happens when a candidate fails to get 50% plus one vote, meaning a majority of votes to get the party nomination,鈥� Alicia Pierce, the assistant secretary of state for communications, recently told The Texas Newsroom.
And if no candidate hits the required 50%-plus-one threshold?
鈥淭he top two candidates will then go on to the runoff in order to determine who gets the party nomination for the General Election in November,鈥� Pierce said. This year鈥檚 runoff elections in Texas take place on May 28.
Other closely watched races likely to head to runoffs include a state senate race in Houston, where a are hoping to get the nod to replace former state Sen. John Whitmire, and El Paso鈥檚 Democratic primary for House District 77. While HB 77鈥檚 primary is not as crowded as other races, three of the four candidates on the ballot are veteran office-holders with considerable name recognition. There's also no Republican challenger in that race, so whoever wins that contest 鈥� either Tuesday or in May 鈥� will head to the Capitol next year.
READ MORE: What triggers a runoff election? Here鈥檚 what you need to know
Will people actually vote?
With all of these important races on the ballot, will voters even turn out?
If early voting numbers are any indication, it ain鈥檛 looking good.
According to an analysis by The Texas Tribune, more than 200,000 fewer people voted early this year compared with the 2020 primary even though there are more registered voters this year.
Democrats accounted for all of the decline, the Tribune analysis found. Republicans turned out in slightly higher numbers this year, but the decrease was so sharp among Democrats that it brought the entire total down compared with 2020.
The dip may be due to less enthusiasm for this year鈥檚 presidential race, as well as the absence of any statewide races on the ballot except for U.S. Senate.
Polls are open across the state March 5.
READ MORE: Early voting turnout in 2024 Texas primaries slumps compared to 2020
The Texas Newsroom鈥檚 Juli谩n Aguilar, Rachel Osier Lindley, Sergio Mart铆nez-Beltr谩n, and Lauren McGaughy contributed to this report.
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