There have been eight new polls of Texas likely voters released in the last five days — and on the presidential level, the results are decidedly mixed: Six show Donald Trump in the lead, and three have Joe Biden in front.
The widest Texas gap came , which had the Republican incumbent up by five points. showed Trump leading by four.
On the other hand, Biden had a four-point lead in a survey released Thursday, and his edge was three in a poll from . The pollster put Biden's lead at one.
Then there's the latest polling by . It delivered a split decision: Trump leads in Texas among likely voters by four points; when it's sorted by overall registered voters, Biden noses ahead by one.
It's vital to remember that all these polls are either within the margins of error or just outside it.
The wide polling variance in Texas stands out in a year when overall polling has been generally steady. As the put it, "We don’t see anything near this kind of variation in any other battleground state."
The numbers-obsessed site still give the president a two-in-three chance of winning Texas. But the influential just moved the Lone Star State from "leans Republican" to "toss-up."
With — 95% of the total vote in 2016 — Texas, and the pollsters, are in uncharted territory.
Got a tip? Email Rick at rholter@kera.org. You can follow him on Twitter .
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